Research

“Technological Disruption in the Labor Market,” NBER Working Paper No. 33323, January 2025 (with D. J. Deming and C. Ong).

“The Cost of Money is Part of the Cost of Living: New Evidence on the Consumer Sentiment Anomaly,” NBER Working Paper No. 32163, February 2024 (with M. A. Bolhuis, J. N. L. Cramer, and K. O. Schulz).

“Comparing Past and Present Inflation,” NBER Working Paper No. 30116, June 2022 (with M. A. Bolhuis and J. N. L. Cramer).

“A Labor Market View on the Risks of a U.S. Hard Landing,” NBER Working Paper No. 29910, April 2022 (with A. Domash).

“The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation,” NBER Working Paper No. 29795, February 2022 (with M. A. Bolhuis and J. N. L. Cramer).

“How Tight Are U.S. Labor Markets?,” NBER Working Paper No. 29739, February 2022 (with A. Domash).

“Productivity and Pay in the US and Canada,” NBER Working Paper No. 29548, December 2021 (with J. Greenspon and A. M. Stansbury).

“Rethinking How We Score Capital Gains Tax Reform,” NBER Working Paper No. 28362, January 2021 (with N. Sarin, O. M. Zidar, and E. Zwick).

“A Calculation of the Social Returns to Innovation,” NBER Working Paper No. 27863, September 2020 (with B. F. Jones).

“Understanding the Revenue Potential of Tax Compliance Investment,” NBER Working Paper No. 27571, July 2020 (with N. Sarin).

“The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis: An Explanation for the Recent Evolution of the American Economy,” NBER Working Paper No. 27193, May 2020 (with A. Stansbury).

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